Fearless Predictions for 2013
Let’s do something different this year. Instead of just looking at my predictions for2012 from a year ago, let’s see what else I said for previous years:
(2007) “The US's biggest entertainment splash and its
biggest technology innovation will both come out of South Korea.” In other words, I knew about Psy six years
ago!
(2008) “College football will have a scandal that makes Mike
Vick, Tim Donaghy, and steroids look forgettable by comparison, and it will
involve sex, money, and race.” PSU is
far worse than the scandal I had in mind.
(2009) “We will not be talking about Sarah Palin by the end
of the year.” This took awhile, but it’s
largely true now, isn’t it? Please?
(2010) “We're going
to see the first prototype of a laptop the size of a deck of cards, which
projects its screen onto a wall and a virtual keyboard and mouse onto a table
surface. No one will be ready for this.”
I’m pretty sure this exists now.
I’m not entirely sure why this isn’t a bigger deal.
(2011) “Plastic
surgery ‘jumps the shark,’ and we coin a new phrase for it to account for its
utter banality in Hollywood.” So banal,
in fact, that no one really talks about it anymore.
(2012) “We start to see the seeds of a breakup of China into
several separate nations, a la USSR in the 20th century, as the Communist Party
proves unable to hold together an increasingly dynamic, vocal, and restive
populace. (And here we were worried that China's economy would overtake ours in
a couple of decades!)” I still think
this is going to happen. Check back in
five years.
In other words, if you word things just the right way, and
make enough inane predictions, you will eventually end up looking like
Nostradamus. On to 2013:
1. Having conquered sports and politics, analytics makes a
big mainstream splash in farming and casting.
2. One of the big automakers announces a future date by
which some of its models will have a driverless mode.
3. Bryce Harper makes the leap, both in his play and in his
outspokenness about his faith.
4. Bullish on: Turkey, Israel, Chile, Iran. Bearish on: England, China, South Africa,
Russia.
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